Frankman, were you ever able to read some of that Ground Control stuff I linked earlier? If not, I found a better link for it that isn't behind a sometimes-paywall'd forum: http://forever-peace.github.io/GroundControl/contents/
Chapter 4 compares Marshawn Lynch to Trent Richardson in an exercise about why sample sizes are important:
Chapter 4 compares Marshawn Lynch to Trent Richardson in an exercise about why sample sizes are important:
Tell you what, let’s do the bet over. This time, we’ll give them each 11 carries. That’s the same number of carries that Yeldon had in those two games that so concerned the fantasy writers we quoted. 11 carries is a good number, right? If Beast Mode already had an advantage when we gave them each 1 carry, giving them an order of magnitude more carries should let Lynch win almost every time, right? Would you give me 3 to 1 odds? 5 to 1? 10 to 1?
Bernie: “I’ll just run my simulation again, taking 11 random runs from each of them, then repeating the process 10,000 times, and…”
Lynch wins 66% of the time.
Trent wins 32% of the time.
They tie 2% of the time.
With 11 carries each, you should have given us only 2 to 1 odds.
Crazy right? I promise you we haven’t fucked this up. Those are the real numbers.
Just to assure you that is possible to tell from the numbers that Lynch is probably better than Trent, we calculated the approximate number of carries that you would need to give each of them in order for Beast Mode to win 95% of the time. Turns out to be 130 carries.
The time in between posts in this thread for a Thursday game shows how irrelevant the Bengals; but more importantly the Dolphins are. We are a rung above the Browns.
By Trey Go To Postcarolina is gonna be aight, trusthttps://media.giphy.com/media/91X2MlgF7dHsA/giphy.gif
Ya'll have nothing to worry about lol
im convinced the titans are just running an elaborate ponzi scheme or some shit on us fans
because we surely cant be trying to win
after last season why didn't we go out and get some fucking body for mariota to throw to. jameis got weapons out the ass.
the interim coach went 2-7 last year, was 19-35 or some shit at previous jobs and we made his ass full time. this at a time where our division was wide the fuck open and crying out for someone to try to win it.
take an ultimate weapon of a player like mariota and sit his ass square in the pocket and run the most vanilla offense i have EVER SEEN. mularkey is an absolute retard and if he choked on his dinner i wouldnt save him.
season over. mariota never gonna be shit cause the franchise is just a dumpster fire. demarco gonna run himself into the ground for nothing.
time to find a bandwagon to hop on for the rest of the season. im done w/ this mess until they show a concerted effort to actually be good.
because we surely cant be trying to win
after last season why didn't we go out and get some fucking body for mariota to throw to. jameis got weapons out the ass.
the interim coach went 2-7 last year, was 19-35 or some shit at previous jobs and we made his ass full time. this at a time where our division was wide the fuck open and crying out for someone to try to win it.
take an ultimate weapon of a player like mariota and sit his ass square in the pocket and run the most vanilla offense i have EVER SEEN. mularkey is an absolute retard and if he choked on his dinner i wouldnt save him.
season over. mariota never gonna be shit cause the franchise is just a dumpster fire. demarco gonna run himself into the ground for nothing.
time to find a bandwagon to hop on for the rest of the season. im done w/ this mess until they show a concerted effort to actually be good.
Darkness was defeated today.
my b lmao
that mularkey take is harsh but fair. I was so glad when he left buffalo. Who keeps giving that man NFL jobs?
By noonecares Go To Posthttps://media.giphy.com/media/91X2MlgF7dHsA/giphy.gif
my b lmao
that mularkey take is harsh but fair. I was so glad when he left buffalo. Who keeps giving that man NFL jobs?
Titans really do have a severe lack of playmakers on offense. I mean, Walker, Wright and Andre Johnson? Draft Derrick Henry in the second round and then give him four touches a game. It's very strange.
Meanwhile, there's more people on the side lines than in the seats for this 9ers / Cowboys game.
Meanwhile, there's more people on the side lines than in the seats for this 9ers / Cowboys game.
By domino Go To Postim convinced the titans are just running an elaborate ponzi scheme or some shit on us fansTajae Sharpe was a load on preseason. Matthews last legit last year. Walker is nice, Murray is back to stomping fools... yet offense looked so bad for long stretches.
because we surely cant be trying to win
after last season why didn't we go out and get some fucking body for mariota to throw to. jameis got weapons out the ass.
the interim coach went 2-7 last year, was 19-35 or some shit at previous jobs and we made his ass full time. this at a time where our division was wide the fuck open and crying out for someone to try to win it.
take an ultimate weapon of a player like mariota and sit his ass square in the pocket and run the most vanilla offense i have EVER SEEN. mularkey is an absolute retard and if he choked on his dinner i wouldnt save him.
season over. mariota never gonna be shit cause the franchise is just a dumpster fire. demarco gonna run himself into the ground for nothing.
time to find a bandwagon to hop on for the rest of the season. im done w/ this mess until they show a concerted effort to actually be good.
By Kuma Go To PostWe lost to Buffalo…time to panic
Hold dat
By Kuma Go To PostWe lost to Buffalo…time to panic
By RATHasReturned Go To PostHow about my Rams?!?!?!?!?!
probably won't make the playoffs.
By Trey Go To Postprobably won't make the playoffs.
I'm not counting them out to be honest. I know Jeff Fisher is the coach and all but not counting them out.
Their qb play is really bad and they have one of those "fluky" win records (turnover luck, playing above their baseline, winning close games). As they regress to the mean, they'll disintegrate.
Penalties killing a drive. That's the Giants I know.
EDIT: Terrible special teams. THAT'S the Giants I know.
EDIT: Terrible special teams. THAT'S the Giants I know.
Eli has no time at all right now. Can't pass with the line not protecting and Beckham is double/tripled with the Vikings 2 Deep defense. The open guys right now are Sheperd and Cruz and the Vikes corners are running down everything.
Great sequence there... Rainey didn't know the play resulting in Eli spiking it and then Shepard trips before the pass gets there. Fourth punt of the game.
/sarcasm.
/sarcasm.
God damn Rotoworld:
Larry Donnell exited Week 4 against the Vikings with a concussion.
Donnell, lined up in the backfield, got lit up by SLB Anthony Barr on a blitz. It knocked him into next week, leaving Donnell not knowing where he was. Consider Donnell week to week. Will Tye will handle tight end.
Now I know why Paul Perkins hasn't been able to see the field. Completely whiffed on the pass protection forcing Eli into a bad throw.
By Trey Go To Postobj needs to stop throwing fits.Him and Rhodes are friends in the offseason, but he felt he got hit late (he was) and wanted a flag. Still needs to stop getting worked up, opponents are now starting to mess with him and he takes the bait.
Bunch of quotes from players and coaches on Bill Belicheck: http://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/_/id/17703210/new-england-patriots-coach-bill-belichick-greatest-enigma-sports
"Saban might be the greatest college coach ever, and I can honestly say in the last eight years at Alabama I have never once seen him tired. But in Cleveland, under Bill, he'd go slump down against a wall and stutter, "I gotta get out of here, I can't function anymore." Bill could outwork all of us."
Ravens released Justin Forsett:
Also, 55 year old fan in critical condition after being attacked by two Raiders fans visiting from New York Sunday.
http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/baltimore-city/bs-md-ci-ravens-fight-20161003-story.html
Awful stuff
Also, 55 year old fan in critical condition after being attacked by two Raiders fans visiting from New York Sunday.
A 55-year-old Jessup man remained hospitalized in critical condition with a severe brain injury Monday after a fight at Sunday's Ravens game…
Scott Smith, 30, of Mount Vernon, N.Y., and Andrew Nappi, 31, of Eastchester, N.Y., were each charged with first- and second-degree assault. They did not return messages seeking comment.
Both were released after posting bond: $50,000 for Smith and $25,000 for Nappi.
Nappi told police that the men argued, and Bauer threw a bottle that hit Smith in the head, police said in charging documents. Only plastic and aluminum bottles are sold at the stadium.
http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/baltimore-city/bs-md-ci-ravens-fight-20161003-story.html
Awful stuff
By Trey Go To Postobj needs to stop throwing fits.What's his deal this season? he can't blame Eli for everything. Is it the defenses?
By RATHasReturned Go To PostWhat's his deal this season? he can't blame Eli for everything. Is it the defenses?
i have no doubt whatsoever that every defender he'll play against is questioning his sexuality/masculinity with trash talk. it's clearly getting to him.
By Trey Go To Posti have no doubt whatsoever that every defender he'll play against is questioning his sexuality/masculinity with trash talk. it's clearly getting to him.Pretty much this. He feels he has a microscope on him where people can hit him and not get penalized but if he retaliates he gets flagged. Simple way to counter that? DON'T FUCKING TAKE THE BAIT. He needs to watch how guys like Antonio Brown and Steve Smith handle it, they fucking eviscerate you on and sometimes off the field.
Funny how he or his people handled the Lena Dunham stuff well enough and now he's blowing up on the field. ^ that's a good point about tuning out all the crap defenders say. I hope it's not defenders goading him with sexual preference stuff however.
They spend all that time and money producing a video of the 49er history and now the current team is kicking off in front of a brand new half empty stadium.
Panthers waived CB Bene Benwikere.Panthers wtf are you doing? Giants should look to grab this dude.
This is the fallout from Benwikere being burnt to a crisp by Julio Jones last week. Jones hung a 12-300-1 line on the Panthers, and Pro Football Focus charged Benwikere with 8-228-1 of it. It's a surprising move, as it was just one bad game, but GM Dave Gettleman has moved on to wanting big, tall corners on the outside. Benwikere was solid Weeks 1-3 and had strong 2014 and 2015 seasons. More than one team will likely put in a waiver claim on Benwikere.
By RATHasReturned Go To Posthttp://awfulannouncing.com/2016/even-michael-irvin-marshall-faulk-mocked-phil-simms-odd-love-of-blaine-gabbert.htmlIn the first half regarding Gabbert he said some shit like, he's not the best throwing the ball, but he can run.
Phil Simms is the worst.
Like....what?
I mean, we know guys like Simms and Marino are the epitome of dumb jocks, but when you hear it happen in the moment it's really something special.
Cam out Monday vs Tampa.
Ravens legend Derek Anderson is incredibly still in the league and will start.
Ravens legend Derek Anderson is incredibly still in the league and will start.