Before I say anything else, understand this--betting is this 90% of the time:
KNOW what the fuck you're getting into. Understand this is a high risk investment game, with big payoffs come big losses. Don't put up anything you can't afford to. Don't cry if you tale someones picks here and lose your rent money. Embrace the L's you get.
After years of analytical work, copious conversation with the brehs, and various unpublished dissertations on the ain't shitness of Ricard "Ricky" Rubio i Vives, I decided its time to start making money off my hard earned work. I made net positive winnings from the beginning of the NBA playoffs until now--and after cashing out from Bovada recently, I decided to take a break...but I'm not. I'm making this thread instead, because nothing stops this train. I've decided I'll handicap myself by starting the season off with a 100 dollar bank roll. If I lose it all--fuck it, I'm out as intended until the beginning of the NBA season. But my intentions are to take this money as far as I can.
Where to bet: bovada.lv
There are others but that's my go to. Nothing but good things to say about the service there.
Terminology:
ATS (Against The Spread) - A method of referring to the result of an event that takes the pointspread into account. Also, the act of taking points rather than betting with the spread, or "laying" points.
Bankroll - Invested money/earnings.
Chalk - The favored team, athlete or horse.
Cover - To beat the pointspread by the required number of points. When you win, you have "covered the spread
Edge - A person's advantage when it comes to sports betting.
Even Money - A wager on which neither side lays any odds or vigorish.
Fade - Betting the opposite of someone's pick
Futures - Bets placed on an event or outcome taking place some time in the future (e.g. betting during the season on the Super Bowl winner).
Handicapper - One who studies and rates sporting events.
Handicapping - The attempt to predict the outcome of sporting events. Usually involves research.
Hedging - Placing wagers on the opposite side in order to cut losses or guarantee a minimum amount of winnings.
Juice - The commission the bookie earns.
Laying the Points - Betting the favorite by giving up points.
Lines - Another word for odds.
No Action - A wager in which no money is lost nor won.
Over/Under - A bet on whether the combined total of the points/goals scored by the two teams will exceed or be less than a specified number.
Parlay - A bet on two or more teams or outcomes where the original stake and winnings are reinvested on the next wager. All selections must be correct for the parlay to win. In the event of a push or a game cancellation, the parlay reverts to the next lower number (e.g. a 4-team parlay becomes a 3-team parlay).
Pointspread - The handicap, or head start, which the favorite gives to the underdog for betting purposes.
Prop (Proposition) Bet - A special wager offered by the sportsbook on unique and various topics. These wagers can be on sporting events, politics, and even trial outcomes. The wagers use the moneyline format of payoff odds and might include who scores the first touchdown in the Super Bowl, who will win the next presidential election, or whether or not someone on trial will be found guilty.
Runline - In baseball, a spread used instead of the moneyline.
Value - Getting the best odds on a wagering proposition; the highest possible edge.
Units - Standard unit of money used on a bet. For example, I'm starting off today with 5 dollar bets. So 1u=5 dollars. 2u=10 dollars, etc.
Bankroll - 100$
1xUnit = 5$ (for now, so this thread doesn't end in one day)
Todays plays:
BAL/NYY Over 8.5 = 1u
STL/CHW Over 7.5 = 1u
BOS/HOU Over 8 = 2u
NYM/WSH Over 7 = 1u
Parlay : 1u
BAL/NYY Over 8.5
BOS/HOU Over 8
Total Cash at stake: 30$
KNOW what the fuck you're getting into. Understand this is a high risk investment game, with big payoffs come big losses. Don't put up anything you can't afford to. Don't cry if you tale someones picks here and lose your rent money. Embrace the L's you get.
After years of analytical work, copious conversation with the brehs, and various unpublished dissertations on the ain't shitness of Ricard "Ricky" Rubio i Vives, I decided its time to start making money off my hard earned work. I made net positive winnings from the beginning of the NBA playoffs until now--and after cashing out from Bovada recently, I decided to take a break...but I'm not. I'm making this thread instead, because nothing stops this train. I've decided I'll handicap myself by starting the season off with a 100 dollar bank roll. If I lose it all--fuck it, I'm out as intended until the beginning of the NBA season. But my intentions are to take this money as far as I can.
Where to bet: bovada.lv
There are others but that's my go to. Nothing but good things to say about the service there.
Terminology:
ATS (Against The Spread) - A method of referring to the result of an event that takes the pointspread into account. Also, the act of taking points rather than betting with the spread, or "laying" points.
Bankroll - Invested money/earnings.
Chalk - The favored team, athlete or horse.
Cover - To beat the pointspread by the required number of points. When you win, you have "covered the spread
Edge - A person's advantage when it comes to sports betting.
Even Money - A wager on which neither side lays any odds or vigorish.
Fade - Betting the opposite of someone's pick
Futures - Bets placed on an event or outcome taking place some time in the future (e.g. betting during the season on the Super Bowl winner).
Handicapper - One who studies and rates sporting events.
Handicapping - The attempt to predict the outcome of sporting events. Usually involves research.
Hedging - Placing wagers on the opposite side in order to cut losses or guarantee a minimum amount of winnings.
Juice - The commission the bookie earns.
Laying the Points - Betting the favorite by giving up points.
Lines - Another word for odds.
No Action - A wager in which no money is lost nor won.
Over/Under - A bet on whether the combined total of the points/goals scored by the two teams will exceed or be less than a specified number.
Parlay - A bet on two or more teams or outcomes where the original stake and winnings are reinvested on the next wager. All selections must be correct for the parlay to win. In the event of a push or a game cancellation, the parlay reverts to the next lower number (e.g. a 4-team parlay becomes a 3-team parlay).
Pointspread - The handicap, or head start, which the favorite gives to the underdog for betting purposes.
Prop (Proposition) Bet - A special wager offered by the sportsbook on unique and various topics. These wagers can be on sporting events, politics, and even trial outcomes. The wagers use the moneyline format of payoff odds and might include who scores the first touchdown in the Super Bowl, who will win the next presidential election, or whether or not someone on trial will be found guilty.
Runline - In baseball, a spread used instead of the moneyline.
Value - Getting the best odds on a wagering proposition; the highest possible edge.
Units - Standard unit of money used on a bet. For example, I'm starting off today with 5 dollar bets. So 1u=5 dollars. 2u=10 dollars, etc.
Bankroll - 100$
1xUnit = 5$ (for now, so this thread doesn't end in one day)
Todays plays:
BAL/NYY Over 8.5 = 1u
STL/CHW Over 7.5 = 1u
BOS/HOU Over 8 = 2u
NYM/WSH Over 7 = 1u
Parlay : 1u
BAL/NYY Over 8.5
BOS/HOU Over 8
Total Cash at stake: 30$
Love this idea. Don't bet as much as I used to but ill be keeping an eye on here and contributing. Especially when the footy is back.
Good luck!
Good luck!
In college I used to be really good at boxing betting. I was winning a lot too, not by much because I mostly bet on safe shit. One day I got really drunk at a party the night of a fight and i passed out in my dorm room early before I could enter my bet in. I bet on Paul Williams beating Martinez over the distance, but didn't submit it.
Woke up hungover, checked the forums to see wtf happened and I saw this:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w3leRDXrbrs
Frantically checked my account. Nothing, Went to my betting site and saw that I had never entered it in. Sigh of relief. And i guess that's why i don't bet on anything anymore. I miss it though.
Woke up hungover, checked the forums to see wtf happened and I saw this:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w3leRDXrbrs
Frantically checked my account. Nothing, Went to my betting site and saw that I had never entered it in. Sigh of relief. And i guess that's why i don't bet on anything anymore. I miss it though.
I had a brief period of betting at the end of last season. I put in 15 euros and I still have just over 100 euros in Unibet account at the moment. Might try to make more of it once the season starts again. Or I'll take at least 80 euros from it and begin with 20.
Mainly fucks around with horses now.
Might as well post my NAP (best bet) N.B (Next best) and IWAC (In with a chance) for tomorrow.
NAP Donna Graciosa 9.00 Leicester - Current Best Priced 3/1
Good run last in race not run to his preference. Yard and Jockey in fine form. Weighted to win.
-
N.B Pharoh Jake 4.50 Lingfield - Current Best Priced 6/1
Won here 5 times, well weighted to reverse form with Give Us A Bell. Held off fave off much worse conditions last month.
-
IWAC Windforpower 4.00 Catterick - Current Best Priced 14/1
Can make excuses for last with unsuitable distance. Drop back to 5f suits, yet to win at catterick but several decent efforts in defeat. Preferred Jockey back on board.
1 Unit on NAP and N.B + 0.5 Unit double
0.5 Unit ew on IWAC
Might as well post my NAP (best bet) N.B (Next best) and IWAC (In with a chance) for tomorrow.
NAP Donna Graciosa 9.00 Leicester - Current Best Priced 3/1
Good run last in race not run to his preference. Yard and Jockey in fine form. Weighted to win.
-
N.B Pharoh Jake 4.50 Lingfield - Current Best Priced 6/1
Won here 5 times, well weighted to reverse form with Give Us A Bell. Held off fave off much worse conditions last month.
-
IWAC Windforpower 4.00 Catterick - Current Best Priced 14/1
Can make excuses for last with unsuitable distance. Drop back to 5f suits, yet to win at catterick but several decent efforts in defeat. Preferred Jockey back on board.
1 Unit on NAP and N.B + 0.5 Unit double
0.5 Unit ew on IWAC
By Face it Tiger.. Go To Postyou guys gonna share your picks?Just wait till the NBA season starts.
especially for futbol
Dat footy/NBA slaent synergy.
By Face it Tiger.. Go To Postyou guys gonna share your picks?KP is the GOAT football-slaent betting man.
especially for futbol
Some of us assume he is Marty McFly and has the Sports Almanac for 2000-2050
Yesterdays Plays:
BAL/NYY Over 8.5 = 1u Loss
STL/CHW Over 7.5 = 1u Win
BOS/HOU Over 8 = 2u Win
NYM/WSH Over 7 = 1u Win
Parlay : 1u Loss
BAL/NYY Over 8.5
BOS/HOU Over 8
Total Cash at stake: 30$
Result : 3-2 (+2u)
Cash Result = +10$
Bankroll: 110
I'm drunk as fuck but I think my math is right. +10% bank roll on our first day. Good shit. Wish I had parlayed literally any other combination :/. That New york and Baltimore play was some fuckery in hindsight. Realistically on the night it was 3-1, but adding in the fukery parlay made it 3-2.
BAL/NYY Over 8.5 = 1u Loss
STL/CHW Over 7.5 = 1u Win
BOS/HOU Over 8 = 2u Win
NYM/WSH Over 7 = 1u Win
Parlay : 1u Loss
BAL/NYY Over 8.5
BOS/HOU Over 8
Total Cash at stake: 30$
Result : 3-2 (+2u)
Cash Result = +10$
Bankroll: 110
I'm drunk as fuck but I think my math is right. +10% bank roll on our first day. Good shit. Wish I had parlayed literally any other combination :/. That New york and Baltimore play was some fuckery in hindsight. Realistically on the night it was 3-1, but adding in the fukery parlay made it 3-2.
Definitely starting tomorrow. Good thing I'm off so I won't miss when any of you guys post your picks.
I completely forgot to take the lines into account when I added up that sum last night in my drunkery. Turns out the bankroll is 109.33, so a 9% gain.
We've got some really early games today and I've got to run the office damn near solo today. I'll do my best to get picks in. I think I like some unders just by scanning it--early starts mean late arriving bats. Maybe some first inning no runs prop bets. We'll see. I love sonny Gray and the A's tonight but nothing else is catching me as too favorable on the money line.
updates later
We've got some really early games today and I've got to run the office damn near solo today. I'll do my best to get picks in. I think I like some unders just by scanning it--early starts mean late arriving bats. Maybe some first inning no runs prop bets. We'll see. I love sonny Gray and the A's tonight but nothing else is catching me as too favorable on the money line.
updates later
Bankroll - 109.33$
1xUnit = 5$
Todays plays (7/22/2015):
ATL +1.5 /LAD (-130) = 1u LOSS
ATL/LAD Under 7.5 (-120) = 1u WIN
Julio Teheran boasts a 5-0 record at home this season with 2.18 era against a bad road team. After two losses straight to Atlanta and a west coast team that's looking to play extremely early mid-week, I expect them to take the L on this one and conserve energy for their next series. I expect it'll be a low scoring game where the pitchers have their way.
NYM/WSH (-130)= 2u WIN
NYM/WSH Over 7 (-110) = 1u PUSH
(NYM @ WSH) - Will Bryce Harper (WAS) hit a home run: Yes (+350) = 1u LOSS (scust)
Syndergaard vs Zimmerman in Washington. Noah hasn't won on the road once this year and we're talking 8mph winds on a lovely DC afternoon. I'm taking Bryce Harper for a home run player prop for a unit once those open on Bovada. I expect the score to be exactly 7, but we'll take the over as that's where the trend and the stats say it'll go provided Washington bats don't go silent as they are sometimes like to do.
TOR/OAK (+140) = 1u
MIN @ LAA (-167): 3u (Win)
Self fade. Everything points to Sonny Gray dominating the matchup but he's coming off a loss and is a better road pitcher than home pitcher. Sneaky play.
Total Cash at stake: 35$
1xUnit = 5$
Todays plays (7/22/2015):
ATL +1.5 /LAD (-130) = 1u LOSS
ATL/LAD Under 7.5 (-120) = 1u WIN
Julio Teheran boasts a 5-0 record at home this season with 2.18 era against a bad road team. After two losses straight to Atlanta and a west coast team that's looking to play extremely early mid-week, I expect them to take the L on this one and conserve energy for their next series. I expect it'll be a low scoring game where the pitchers have their way.
NYM/WSH (-130)= 2u WIN
NYM/WSH Over 7 (-110) = 1u PUSH
(NYM @ WSH) - Will Bryce Harper (WAS) hit a home run: Yes (+350) = 1u LOSS (scust)
Syndergaard vs Zimmerman in Washington. Noah hasn't won on the road once this year and we're talking 8mph winds on a lovely DC afternoon. I'm taking Bryce Harper for a home run player prop for a unit once those open on Bovada. I expect the score to be exactly 7, but we'll take the over as that's where the trend and the stats say it'll go provided Washington bats don't go silent as they are sometimes like to do.
TOR/OAK (+140) = 1u
MIN @ LAA (-167): 3u (Win)
Self fade. Everything points to Sonny Gray dominating the matchup but he's coming off a loss and is a better road pitcher than home pitcher. Sneaky play.
Total Cash at stake: 35$
guess I woke up too late lol.
Anyways made the deposit into my account so i better be ready next time.
Anyways made the deposit into my account so i better be ready next time.
Betting on NBA is the most fun.
Pro-Tip: Never do live betting on Bovada(first team to score 20 points in a quarter etc.), that shit hurts more when you lose.
Pro-Tip: Never do live betting on Bovada(first team to score 20 points in a quarter etc.), that shit hurts more when you lose.
I don't trust MLB enough to put bread on it.
NFL and NBA tho? In.
Although NFL with point spreads is INFURIATING as fuck. FOH here with that prevent defense in the last 2 minutes when up by 10 smh. Can wreck your whole weekend.
NFL and NBA tho? In.
Although NFL with point spreads is INFURIATING as fuck. FOH here with that prevent defense in the last 2 minutes when up by 10 smh. Can wreck your whole weekend.
By Smokey Go To PostI don't trust MLB enough to put bread on it.I would never bet on the NFL. The margins are so thin and crazy unpredictable shit happens all the time.
NFL and NBA tho? In.
Although NFL with point spreads is INFURIATING as fuck. FOH here with that prevent defense in the last 2 minutes when up by 10 smh. Can wreck your whole weekend.
CFB will be my joint if I ever get into it.
By Slizz Go To PostBetting on NBA is the most fun.
Pro-Tip: Never do live betting on Bovada(first team to score 20 points in a quarter etc.), that shit hurts more when you lose.
Playing the live lines are actually the way to go in certain scenarios. Sometimes in the first five minutes of a game the lines can literally pop a 180 and save you from having done something you regret. On the otherhand, sometimes shit can happen that improves the lines in your favor.
For example in NBA, there are a lot of times where you know the other team is gonna go on a run at some point. If you just lock money in when things are going right you're going to get bad odds. OTOH if you wait for that run to happen you can lock in with a much better number.
MLB is mostly...fine if you know what to look for. Not my bread and butter though.
By Dark PhaZe Go To PostPlaying the live lines are actually the way to go in certain scenarios. Sometimes in the first five minutes of a game the lines can literally pop a 180 and save you from having done something you regret. On the otherhand, sometimes shit can happen that improves the lines in your favor.Oh I know theres plenty of good money to be won, I just lost a lot more cash doing live betting than I have just regularly betting.
For example in NBA, there are a lot of times where you know the other team is gonna go on a run at some point. If you just lock money in when things are going right you're going to get bad odds. OTOH if you wait for that run to happen you can lock in with a much better number.
MLB is mostly…fine if you know what to look for. Not my bread and butter though.
this is why the nats won't win shit
gorgeous summer day with a 12:35 start against an aint shit on the road pitcher and you're fucking scoreless through 4
90% of the bats need to be thrown in the fucking bushes and this has been the case for years now
gorgeous summer day with a 12:35 start against an aint shit on the road pitcher and you're fucking scoreless through 4
90% of the bats need to be thrown in the fucking bushes and this has been the case for years now
Trout is on PEDS bro
dagod
I expect the score to be exactly 7, but we'll take the over as that's where the trend and the stats say it'll go provided Washington bats don't go silent as they are sometimes like to do.
dagod
Bovada just updated the site so no plays as of now. 115.28 BR
So 15.28 in two days, and could have done more if I were more conservative (no dumb HR props or parlays).
Still though, if we could win at this current rate, we'd be in line for about 229 dollars a month in winnings.
*shrug*
not good enough, we must go DEEPER
So 15.28 in two days, and could have done more if I were more conservative (no dumb HR props or parlays).
Still though, if we could win at this current rate, we'd be in line for about 229 dollars a month in winnings.
*shrug*
not good enough, we must go DEEPER
By HasphatsAnts Go To Posti'd imagine this thread would be a lot more entertaining when NFL starts.
I understand that I'm basically gonna be sitting here mouthing off by myself for a couple of months, yea
I've never bet NFL. Seems like it could be a great sport for parlays given the predictability of winners overall though. Spreads seem dangerous. I'm interested in seeing what the average money line looks like.
By KP Go To PostMainly fucks around with horses now.
Might as well post my NAP (best bet) N.B (Next best) and IWAC (In with a chance) for tomorrow.
NAP Donna Graciosa 9.00 Leicester - Current Best Priced 3/1
Good run last in race not run to his preference. Yard and Jockey in fine form. Weighted to win.
-
N.B Pharoh Jake 4.50 Lingfield - Current Best Priced 6/1
Won here 5 times, well weighted to reverse form with Give Us A Bell. Held off fave off much worse conditions last month.
-
IWAC Windforpower 4.00 Catterick - Current Best Priced 14/1
Can make excuses for last with unsuitable distance. Drop back to 5f suits, yet to win at catterick but several decent efforts in defeat. Preferred Jockey back on board.
1 Unit on NAP and N.B + 0.5 Unit double
0.5 Unit ew on IWAC
post more KP, you slay.
Saturday is an absolute minefield with horse racing so just 1 today.
Tropics 3.45 Goodwood Best Price 12/1
A real favourite of mine. Won easy as it liked on its seasonal reappearance in a listed contest at Windsor but ran to even better form in defeat to top class Muhaarar in the July cup. Ideally would want the ground a touch softer today but has grown pretty versatile going wise. Carries top weight today but really see it having too much class. The main danger for me is the improving Poyle Vinnie who i'll be having a small ew cover on at 16's
Tropics 3.45 Goodwood Best Price 12/1
A real favourite of mine. Won easy as it liked on its seasonal reappearance in a listed contest at Windsor but ran to even better form in defeat to top class Muhaarar in the July cup. Ideally would want the ground a touch softer today but has grown pretty versatile going wise. Carries top weight today but really see it having too much class. The main danger for me is the improving Poyle Vinnie who i'll be having a small ew cover on at 16's
Thanks for that KP. I'm following a horse punter and he is on Them And Us, running 4.00 on Newmarket. I got him for 7.50 and the odds on him are 5.00 now. Can't really offer the reasoning on that one, since I just do what he says.
Got 3 football doubles today as well, but it's mostly bets on Swedish, Norwegian and German teams for fun. Will probably make a big bet on PSG tonight, seen Lyon play this summer and they are bad.
Got 3 football doubles today as well, but it's mostly bets on Swedish, Norwegian and German teams for fun. Will probably make a big bet on PSG tonight, seen Lyon play this summer and they are bad.
Ahhh, thought Tropics was looking very good for a few moments. Held on to a place so returns profit on ew.
By KP Go To PostAhhh, thought Tropics was looking very good for a few moments. Held on to a place so returns profit on ew.
He was up at a half furlong alright but fader at the end.
God I hate Dettori
The trick to sport betting, is betting more than you can actually afford. That way you earn much more when you win
I just got into Daily Fantasy (H2H mostly) and it's as close to outright sports betting as I'm willing to go when not in Vegas. It's actually fun and somewhat strategic. I do utilize betting lines for Fantasy though (helps decide who to start and sit)
By cloudy Go To PostI just got into Daily Fantasy (H2H mostly) and it's as close to outright sports betting as I'm willing to go when not in Vegas. It's actually fun and somewhat strategic. I do utilize betting lines for Fantasy though (helps decide who to start and sit)
Read a big long piece about this recently. Sounded interesting and exactly my kind of thing but ill probably hold of until I've more research done during the seasons
